North America and Asia Pacific lead the world in terms of geothermal projects in the final stages of development. The report from Navigant Research says both regions have 56 reported projects in either active drilling or construction stages. Nearly all of these projects are in the U.S., the Philippines and Indonesia, the top three countries in installed geothermal power production capacity globally.
“More than 4GW of geothermal power capacity is expected to come online worldwide between 2013 and 2018”, says Mackinnon Lawrence, principal research analyst with Navigant Research. “This total includes only projects in advanced stages of development. A significant though mostly unconfirmed amount of capacity remains locked up in early-stage projects, some of which are likely to be cancelled before completion. As a number of these projects are further developed and their resource potential confirmed, the long-term pipeline — 2017 and later — is expected to expand proportionally.”
Although North America leads all regions with the largest number of projects in the pipeline, Asia Pacific has the most reported capacity under development. Projects located in areas of high seismic and volcanic activity in the island nations of Indonesia and the Philippines account for 63% of reported projects across the Asia Pacific region.
A reported 7.4GW is currently in the pipeline in Asia Pacific, representing 40% of the global capacity under development. Latin America and Africa account for a combined 3.8GW of additional capacity under development equal to 20% of the global pipeline.